Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.304865 0.328803 0.354352 0.383755 0.416790 0.452914 0.495613
2025-11-30 0.267387 0.301850 0.341179 0.389857 0.449160 0.519958 0.612273
2025-12-07 0.241238 0.280504 0.327337 0.388262 0.466885 0.567082 0.708168
2025-12-14 0.222304 0.264340 0.316203 0.386367 0.481240 0.608950 0.801277
2025-12-21 0.204600 0.247462 0.301737 0.377453 0.483738 0.633419 0.872165
2025-12-28 0.196723 0.242085 0.301078 0.386056 0.510205 0.693915 1.006674
2026-01-04 0.188704 0.235664 0.298151 0.390721 0.530873 0.747888 1.140957
2026-01-11 0.180338 0.228038 0.292758 0.390986 0.544448 0.791987 1.266988
2026-01-18 0.170720 0.217997 0.283141 0.383946 0.545508 0.815103 1.358608
2026-01-25 0.160879 0.207042 0.271442 0.372674 0.538355 0.822768 1.420911
2026-02-01 0.153173 0.198664 0.262913 0.365523 0.537088 0.840377 1.507511
2026-02-08 0.146496 0.191394 0.255549 0.359562 0.537082 0.860027 1.603059
2026-02-15 0.140349 0.184759 0.248995 0.354804 0.539392 0.885797 1.723697
2026-02-22 0.137223 0.182406 0.248787 0.360408 0.560834 0.952990 1.969737
2026-03-01 0.132659 0.177669 0.244604 0.358995 0.569174 0.994617 2.164145
2026-03-08 0.128389 0.173152 0.240478 0.357302 0.576699 1.035653 2.373350
2026-03-15 0.123044 0.166762 0.233050 0.349330 0.571187 1.046625 2.494976
2026-03-22 0.121453 0.166014 0.234528 0.357024 0.597372 1.135342 2.915030
2026-03-29 0.119222 0.164158 0.234083 0.361192 0.616827 1.211926 3.339765
2026-04-05 0.116349 0.161168 0.231607 0.361429 0.628018 1.269946 3.730803
2026-04-12 0.112404 0.156333 0.225835 0.355138 0.624475 1.288434 3.964352
2026-04-19 0.107970 0.150573 0.218283 0.345052 0.611689 1.279707 4.068591
2026-04-26 0.104445 0.146155 0.212824 0.338647 0.606589 1.291974 4.289114